Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 3.285053 3.678123 4.104006 4.600442 5.164127 5.785313 6.523129
2024-10-13 2.700739 3.219649 3.821972 4.575494 5.496724 6.591088 7.996669
2024-10-20 2.314338 2.891347 3.596686 4.527827 5.732858 7.250637 9.324359
2024-10-27 1.953462 2.531537 3.267492 4.281366 5.654599 7.468001 10.074013
2024-11-03 1.769370 2.368168 3.158410 4.289255 5.884901 8.084263 11.394439
2024-11-10 1.654432 2.279682 3.132106 4.394922 6.244961 8.898015 13.066905
2024-11-17 1.534790 2.169939 3.061211 4.423060 6.486683 9.554065 14.567383
2024-11-24 1.431907 2.072603 2.995734 4.447041 6.716095 10.203510 16.117906
2024-12-01 1.341243 1.983902 2.932774 4.464614 6.930661 10.841939 17.711484
2024-12-08 1.232467 1.858273 2.802500 4.363260 6.942526 11.150833 18.780233
2024-12-15 1.155118 1.774254 2.728265 4.341907 7.077829 11.667856 20.254812
2024-12-22 1.080559 1.688568 2.643944 4.295036 7.162675 12.101844 21.621613
2024-12-29 1.057503 1.685259 2.693932 4.480650 7.671084 13.336004 24.640392
2025-01-05 0.998481 1.618616 2.634659 4.473783 7.839034 13.977624 26.612414
2025-01-12 0.938518 1.545836 2.559170 4.430996 7.935856 14.494354 28.397328
2025-01-19 0.850445 1.419109 2.382194 4.191092 7.643014 14.240334 28.572911
2025-01-26 0.810815 1.373416 2.342775 4.198960 7.820174 14.913902 30.775187
2025-02-02 0.789059 1.357452 2.354416 4.302203 8.190757 16.007947 34.026269
2025-02-09 0.757613 1.321881 2.327842 4.329693 8.411780 16.816513 36.743572
2025-02-16 0.727889 1.287387 2.300611 4.353116 8.625521 17.629530 39.576351
2025-02-23 0.699430 1.253315 2.271644 4.370280 8.826794 18.434472 42.495891
2025-03-02 0.658279 1.192874 2.188588 4.271289 8.771035 18.665124 44.036869
2025-03-09 0.629671 1.154479 2.145345 4.250433 8.882047 19.280575 46.624035